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Saturday, November 24, 2018

INDO-LANKA RELATIONS: ENSURING EXPERIENCE SUPERSEDES ELECTIONS


- George I. H. Cooke

India remains a constant in the foreign policy formulation process in Sri Lanka given geographic and historic connections. Yet equally important are personalities that have dotted the political landscape over the last seven decades. The success or failure in comprehending the complexities of these personalities, have resulted in relations soaring and souring at varied periods. It has been the chemistry between the leadership of the two countries that has been instrumental in steering relations, and will continue to do so in the years ahead. As the world’s largest democracy prepares for another crucial general election in 2019 the consequent relations with neighbouring countries remains critical, given the presence and potential of India in South Asia. 

The signing of the Defence Agreement with the British on the eve of Independence, construed as one of the first foreign policy decisions of D. S. Senanayake, secured the support and strength of the British from any form of aggression that might have been exerted by Ceylon’s immediate neighbour. Senanayake’s inhibitions which were upheld by his son and successor, Dudley Senanayake and then by Sir John Kotelawala, resulted in the first eight years of independent Ceylon existing amid deep concern over the power, potential and population of India.

It wasn’t until the advent of the Bandaranaike administration in 1956 that relations entered a new era given the closeness of the leadership that had been nurtured for more than a decade. While S. W. R. D. Bandaranaike had met with Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru on several occasions, in the company of Mrs Bandaranaike, Indira Gandhi too had been a part of such interactions. S. W. R. D. Bandaranaike was confident enough to abrogate the Defence Agreement with the British owing to his not harbouring the same apprehensions of his three predecessors. The bonds of friendship between the Bandaranaikes and Nehru, continued when Mrs Bandaranaike came to power, and were further strengthened with the arrival of Mrs Gandhi into the political hierarchy, as issues pertaining to people of Indian origin and Kachchativu, to name just two matters were amicably resolved. Regular and close interactions fostered a deeper degree of trust and understanding that would augur well for both countries whenever members of the two families were at the helm.

Foreign policy formulation and implementation during the Sirimavo Bandaranaike administrations is often invoked when highlighting the balanced nature of relations, especially with countries like India and China. Yet there is failure to understand the uniqueness of relations at that time and the manner in which they had been nurtured. Connections of this nature have not been seen between the leadership of Sri Lanka and India in the ensuing decades.

In the second half of the 1960s Dudley Senanayake engaged with India to the extent that Mrs Gandhi visited Colombo in September 1967 and the visit was reciprocated by Senanayake in November 1968, while India was in the Ceylon Aid Group that was arranged by the World Bank and drew support from a large number of countries in the West. The administration of J. R. Jayewardene at its initiation in 1977 maintained a degree of momentum due to the premiership of Moraji Desai. Visiting India in October 1978, President Jayewardene noted that “I am a friend of India and its people; and admirer of its noble heritage, a follower of its greatest son…Our meetings will only help to further the understanding and cooperation that exist between us already.” Prime Minister Desai was chief guest at the 1979 Independence commemoration and the foundation stone laying ceremony for the Kotmale Dam and also addressed Parliament.

Cordiality would soon end with Desai’s resignation and the election of Indira Gandhi in December 1979. At their first meeting as leaders of their respective countries, on the sidelines of the Commonwealth Asia-Pacific Regional Conference, Jayewardene urged India to give leadership to the non-aligned world in accordance with the achievements of the late Jawaharlal Nehru. Although President Sanjiva Reddy appreciated the sentiments, Mrs Gandhi felt slighted owing to her being excluded from the compliment and the comparison with the past. Her previous tenure as Prime Minister had seen a warming of relations with Lyndon B. Johnson and improved trade connectivity, which had ended in disarray owing to attempts to become close to the Soviet Union. While the September meeting may have marred relations, it was the developments in October 1980 that sealed the faith of Sri Lanka. The expulsion from Parliament and disenfranchisement of Mrs Bandaranaike was denounced across the Palk Straits and saw the rapid deterioration of relations.

The riots and killings of July 1983 exacerbated ties with Mrs Gandhi sending Minister Narasimha Rao to Colombo, as an estimated 35, 000 Sri Lankans sought refuge in Tamil Nadu. The subsequent appointment of G. Parathasarathy and H. W. Jayewardene as special envoys of their respective leaders was to become a regular feature in diplomatic engagement in the decades ahead. Whilst Mrs Gandhi highlighted the riots at the United Nations in New York, the Tamil Nadu government was to sponsor a one million signature campaign, as information regarding training facilities began to emerge. Following the assassination of Mrs Gandhi in October 1984 and Rajiv Gandhi’s ascent to power, Jayewardene had hoped for improved relations with Minister Lalith Athulathmudali sent to meet the new Prime Minister. Whilst being disappointed at the refusal to establish joint naval patrols in the Palk Straits, Jayewardene was to speak in favour of Pakistan over Kashmir during a visit to Pakistan. During that visit he was bestowed with the Nishan-E-Pakistan, the highest award in the country.

As the year unfolded with the appointment of J. N. Dixit as High Commissioner, the five-page report on geo-political realities by Minister Gamini Dissanayake, the Thimpu Talks, and the subsequent Delhi Accord which saw the recognition of a province as a unit of devolution over a district, relations between India and Sri Lanka ambled along with India continuing to be a refuge for training, arms supply and a source of funds for the rebel movement. While P. Chidambaram and Natwar Singh took over from Romesh Bandhari who had replaced Parathasarathy earlier, the change of India’s stance to include politicians over bureaucrats spelled a fresh development.

In September 1986 when Gandhi and Jayewardene met on the sidelines of second SAARC Summit in Bangalore, the signing of an accord was discussed giving way to the infamous Indo-Lanka Accord in July 1987, a month after New Delhi found it necessary to dispatch food items to Jaffna, first by ship and thereafter owing to being turned back, by air. Both leaders survived assassination attempts, and Congressman Stephan Solarz, Chairman of the Asia-Pacific Sub-Committee in House of Representatives announced that he would nominate them for the Nobel Peace Prize for ‘setting out on the right path. They will deserve great praise if they stick to it. Mr Jayewardene will have saved his country. Mr Gandhi will have exercised powers of statesmanship and a decision that seemed to have deserted him.’

The end of the Jayewardene tenure saw him invited as Guest-of-Honour for Republic Day in India in 1988 as Sri Lanka prepared for provincial council elections and the presidential election at the end of the year which would see Ranasinghe Premadasa elected. Known for his staunch opposition to the Indian Peace Keeping Force (IPKF) in the country, President Premadasa was to declare the need for them to leave, in the ‘Battaramulla Declaration’ with a deadline of 31st July that year, which was an ultimatum to Gandhi. Attempting to link the speedy implementation of devolution to the ‘de-induction’ of troops, Gandhi had hoped for an amicable settlement. J. N. Dixit was to write later that “We should encourage the dialogue, howsoever difficult it maybe, as a friendly neighbour interested in the stability and welfare of the people of Sri Lanka. We must resist any attempt by any of the protagonists in Sri Lankan politics to re-inveigle us into the Sri Lankan situation. Once has been more than enough.”

As the final contingent of the IPKF left Sri Lanka in March 1990, with President Jayewardene himself present to see them off, it was understood that relations had reached an abysmal level. The subsequent unprecedented visit to New Delhi by a Sri Lankan All Party Delegation that included Speaker M. H. Mohamed, Ranil Wickremesinghe, Anura Bandaranaike, Dinesh Gunewardena and M. L. A. M Hisbullah among others, was an attempt to revive relations. Further, the institutionalization of an Indo-Sri Lanka Commission in 1991 with sub-commissions on trade, cultural affairs and investment and the suggestion of an ‘Indo-Sri Lankan Friendship Treaty’ were seen as attempts being made by the Sri Lankan leadership to improve ties.

The assassination of Gandhi in May 1991 and that of Premadasa two years later saw the exit from the political spectrum of two key leaders, who had often been critical of each other. The consecutive election victories of Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga which saw her being sworn in as President also indicated an improvement in relations with her first visit to India in March 1995. Having actively supported India’s bid for a non-Permanent seat on the UN Security Council, India in turn supported Sri Lanka’s entry into the Indian Ocean Rim Initiative. Working with Narasimha Rao, Inder Kumar Gujral, Atal Behari Vajpayee and Dr Manmohan Singh, President Kumaratunga ensured the strengthening of relations irrespective of the party in power in India.

The Indian External Affairs Ministry issuing a statement during the visit in December 2005 of newly elected President Mahinda Rajapaksa observed that “Indo-Sri Lanka relations are excellent. There is good understanding and interaction at the political level; trade and investment is expanding rapidly; the institutional framework of the relationship has been strengthened further; infrastructural linkages are being augmented; and people-to-people contacts have intensified.’ The statement which could be regarded as a summary of Indo-Lanka relations during the Kumaratunga presidency were testimony to the role played chiefly by Kumaratunga and Foreign Minister Lakshman Kadirgamar.

The Mahinda Chinthana of 2005 highlighted the significance that would be accorded to India, in which it was stated that “I shall as a matter of priority, commence talks with our immediate neighbour, India and arrive at an agreement in relation to regional security and peace.” The several visits undertaken by President Rajapaksa during his tenure and interactions with Dr Manmohan Singh and thereafter with Narendra Modi, and their respective foreign ministers emphasized the significance of connectivity between the two countries. The assertion by a senior bureaucrat that Sri Lanka respects the regional and international concerns and interests of India, and adopts foreign policy accordingly was a vital message to the Indian leadership of the cooperation expected as terminology changed from being ‘friends’ to ‘relations’.

The first Rajapaksa administration worked in close consultation with the Indian regime through the appointment of troikas on either side. While Basil Rajapaksa, Gotabhaya Rajapaksa and Lalith Weeratunga represented Sri Lanka, M. K. Narayanan, Shiv Shankar Menon and Vijay Singh intervened on behalf of India, as sensitive details were discussed and issues ironed out, especially in light of the intensification of the conflict. In the second term, although relations were seen to dip as New Delhi tried to satisfy influential parties in Tamil Nadu, and restricted engagement opened up new space for China, especially in the development sphere, as well as the decision of Prime Minister Modi to skip the Commonwealth Meeting in 2013, the election of President Maithripala Sirisena saw the visit of Modi within three months in March 2015 following the State Visit of Sirisena in February that year.

Prime Minister Modi returned in May 2017 for the celebration of the International Day of Vesak while External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj undertook many visits to Colombo before and after this visit. Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe was in New Delhi on his first visit overseas after the general election of August 2015, and thereafter in October 2016, and in April and November of 2017. It is through an intensification of visits, interactions and mutual understanding of those in power, that relations between the countries could be expected to flourish.

India prepares for general elections in 2019 with Prime Minister Modi keen to see a second term and Rahul Gandhi attempting to revive the position his family enjoyed at the helm of Indian leadership in the past. The outcome remains significant, as overreliance on Tamil Nadu in the formation of a government at the Centre, would not augur well for Sri Lanka. On the other hand a larger majority being secured by the winning party, and its reduced reliance on the Tamil Nadu vote base and politicians, would see a marked improvement of Indo-Lanka ties. The viewing of India through the prism of Tamil Nadu is not the most appropriate given the vastness of the country and the cordiality enjoyed with other states. Yet Tamil Nadu remains a critical factor in the Indian establishment. Elections in Sri Lanka, would also serve as a key determinant of how relations will soar or sour, although all attempts would be made to prosper the ties and refrain from antagonizing so important a neighbour. 

Irrespective of the outcome, it is prudent for foreign policy formulators and implementors to realize that India is not a country to be trifled with, if experience is to serve well.