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Saturday, July 29, 2017

Agreements and Anniversaries: China, India and Sri Lanka’s Foreign Policy - 1987 and 2017



The foreign policy of a country, whilst being an extension of its domestic policy, is chiefly the manner in which it deals, responds and cooperates with the international community. Hardly set it stone, the policy and policy making process evolve according to circumstance and situation. Thus it is of added significance when the country formulating that policy is a relatively small state, attempting to balance its policy towards two of the largest states in the world. Adapting to developments at the national, regional and global level, while strategizing for the future, remains at the core of decision making.   

Sri Lanka’s relations with the global community date back centuries, with the importance of the country’s location being paramount. Apparent through the manner in which other countries have sought to maintain ties, Ceylon has from the times of the ancient kings, and the special envoys they dispatched to foreign courts, to the heightened commercial connectivity along the trading routes and through to the colonial period, when three of the most powerful empire builders of their time, sought to ‘engage’ with the country, in more ways than one, experienced a foreign policy that has been complex, competitive, and colourful to say the least.

From independence onwards, the country has striven to be ‘a friend to all and enemy to none’ in the international community, yet faced trying and decisive moments when decisions were taken, or forced to be taken, owing to a plethora of factors. A noteworthy degree of this engagement and these decisive moments have pivoted on relations with China and India.

With China, from the recognition accorded by D. S. Senanayake in 1950, to the Rubber-Rice Pact during the premiership of Dudley Senanayake in 1952, S. W. R. D. Bandaranaike’s decision to establish diplomatic relations in 1957, Sirimavo Bandaranaike’s engagement in shuttle diplomacy at the time of border tensions between China and India in 1962, and her close ties with Mao Tse Tung and Chou en Lai, as well as the diplomatic engagement of all Presidents from J. R. Jayewardene to Maithripala Sirisena, have seen a steady, sometimes meteoric rise in connectivity, as during the period from 2005 to 2015, with even Xi Jinping visiting Sri Lanka in 2014. The Chinese stake in the development drive is high in Sri Lanka. These are not funds that China chose to freely pour into the Sri Lankan economy, but instead loans that Sri Lanka sought. Hence while China looks to expand its sphere of influence globally and finds a ready partner in Sri Lanka, it is of paramount importance to note that Sri Lanka reached out to China and that country reciprocated. Terms and conditions that accompany such finances, and through them prosperity, obviously come at a cost, as would be the case with all loans.

India, given its geographic proximity has remained a critical factor in policy formulation. Whilst independence itself in 1948 is attributed to the freedom struggle on the island, the departure of the British from India remains a pivotal factor that is often overlooked. The signing of vital agreements with the British to safeguard defence and external relations by D. S. Senanayake owing to his anxiety of having to ward off any untoward action, to the strong bond of friendship between Nehru and the Bandaranaikes, which continued through Indira Gandhi and Sirimavo Bandaranaike, the Sirima-Shastri Pact of 1964, claiming the island of Kachchativu in 1974, the training of rebels by Mrs Gandhi and her deep dislike of J. R. Jayewardene as well as the infamous humanitarian air intervention by India in the north of Sri Lanka and the signing of the Indo-Lanka Accord in 1987 between Rajiv Gandhi and J. R. Jayewardene, the saga that was the Indian Peace Keeping Force and the action of Ranasinghe Premadasa, the closeness of relations during the presidency of Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga, the straining of them in the second term of Mahinda Rajapaksa, and the intimacy of ties post 2015 with Narendi Modi having visited Sri Lanka twice in two years, have all seen the formulation of policy with India remaining a cornerstone in the foreign policy framework.

29th July 2017 marks three decades since the signing of the Indo-Lanka Accord, the assault on Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi and the first steps towards the establishment of the Provincial Council system. Politics remained at the core as India, her coterie of diplomats and abundance of politicians from Tamil Nadu to New Delhi took umbrage at developments in the island.

Reflecting on the period, the Oxford educated, political heavyweight Lalith Athulathmudali once observed that ‘the Indians came in only because we were winning. …Their purpose was to use our acute problem, which they helped to intensify, in order to get us to change our policy on several points.’ A domestic issue had spiraled into an international one as global attention turned to the island with the riots of July 1983. As refugees sought asylum overseas the issue ceased to be domestic. Whilst Jayewardene sought the support of the United States of America and the Western world, especially through his open market policies, his tackling of relations with his immediate neighbour, remained critical.

Yet his attempting to cooperate with Rajiv Gandhi, especially in light of the already deep-rooted involvement of India, even won them both a nomination for the Nobel Peace Prize in 1988 but which was eventually secured by the UN Peace Keeping Forces. From 1987 to date relations with India have soured and improved at varied times, signaling change yet the abiding factor has been the need for positive relations owing to geography. Elections and their results do not move the island nation from its geographic positioning, and hence, neighbours do not change. Jayewardene and almost all his successors have understood the need to work with a country they wouldn’t be able to survive without.

In the last three decades China has experienced a steady rise as a global power, marking her presence on the world stage and surging ahead of countries like India, in a gamut of areas. Interestingly the thirtieth anniversary of the Indo-Lanka Accord coincides, with the signing of a landmark agreement with China over the Hambantota port, which lies in close proximity to international sea lanes and is one of the many assets Sri Lanka possesses.

Once again we are reminded that foreign policy remains an extension of domestic policy. Domestic compulsions continue to drive foreign policy and its formulation as Sri Lanka, having undergone a virtual stagnation of economy growth and development, sacrificing prosperity and losing out on the opportunities due to the conflict, is attempting today to regain her position in the region and the world at large. Countries like Singapore which took a cue from then Ceylon have raced ahead and are in the vanguard of global affairs. South East Asia, since adopting a collaborative mechanism in 1967 is reaping immense benefits fifty years later, while others in South Asia are trying to ride the wave of the One Belt One Road initiative of China.      

Sri Lanka’s choice to proceed with the signing of the Agreement with China, to service the debt and ensure usage of facilities the country possesses, is judicious, to say the least. The agreement is a lease and needs to be understood as such. At the same time the efforts to lease the Trincomalee oil tanks in the East to India indicate the ability of a small island nation to balance her foreign policy. Satisfying two global giants at the same time, involves massive effort, dedication and strategy. Evidenced through the action of the Sirisena - Wickremesinghe government is that bipartisan cooperation can bring about change, which would transcend into prosperity of the island and her people.  
 
Foreign policy is therefore not set in stone, yet strategy remains a crucial element if a state is to benefit from location, resources and infrastructure. The maturity of the process of policy making makes it clear that irrespective of developments in China or India, and despite the international machinations enveloping these two countries, Sri Lanka, her leaders and people, need to focus on a strategic, Sri Lanka-first policy through which the state’s interests are safeguarded, sustained and promoted. That policy needs to be set in stone. 

- AWARELOGUE EDITORIAL