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Saturday, February 3, 2018

BRITAIN AND SRI LANKA: SYNCHRONIZING SOARING AND SOURING RELATIONS



Relations between Britain and Sri Lanka have soared and soured since paths crossed in 1796, when during the Napoleonic Wars the British fearing French-control of the island which was partially under the jurisdiction of the Dutch, occupied the coastal regions. From complete control of the island in 1815 to independence in 1948, and amidst developments through to 2018, Britain has remained critically relevant to Sri Lanka. 
 
In the 1940s an empire was crumbling after the Second World War, as colonies, having done their duty of aiding the British, sought to gain independence. An empire on which the sun never set was encountering its own sunset, as the international order began to undergo a drastic change from a multipolar world to a bipolar system as the Cold War began unfolding. It was amidst such change that India, Ceylon and Burma in South Asia, were agitating for liberation, yet it was Ceylon’s quest for independence that remained unique, as opposed to her contemporaries in the region.

Ceylon’s reaction to colonialism was two-fold. Whilst the island had encountered numerous invasions from across the Palk Strait in the centuries gone by, it was the advent of the Portuguese, followed by the Dutch and finally the British that saw the island face some of its most tumultuous days. The reactionary forces in the country sought to avenge the colonizers through revolts. In 1815 when the entire island fell into the hands of the British, most leaders of the time intensified their effort to rid the island of the British. These numerous uprisings occurred throughout the ensuring century. The British were able however to employ the perennial policy of ‘divide and rule’ to ensure that their writ prevailed upon the entirety of the island.

2018 marks Sri Lanka’s 70th anniversary of independence but it also marks the 200th anniversary of the Uva Wellasa uprising. The thwarting of this infamous rebellion included the induction of Indian troops, the capture and beheading of several Ceylonese leaders, and the suppression of a disgruntled population. The century thereafter was dotted with incidents of revolt, thus exemplifying the nature of Ceylon’s reaction to Britain.

It was in the 1900s that Ceylon and her leaders altered the manner of response to the British. Engagement became a cornerstone of policy especially that which was advocated by Don Stephen Senanayake, despite having been jailed on trumped up charges. This second course of action saw the road to independence becoming relatively smooth and not even remotely similar to that which was experienced in India at the time of partition just months before.

Successive forms of representation that had been made to the British in Ceylon and in London itself culminated in the announcement of the granting of Dominion Status in the midst of the campaign of the 1947 general election. Although Senanayake did not muster a decisive victory he was able to form a government, which would see the transition of power in a matter of months. The announcement was expected to bolster the newly created United National Party given the fears of a rising Left, which was in actuality a global phenomenon in the aftermath of the Second World War.

Ceylon’s decision to engage with the British in the preceding decades wasn’t without incident. Numerous events led to the colonizer crossing paths with Ceylonese leaders, as seen during the Bracegirdle Affairs, and Mooloya Incident in which the entirety of the Board of Ministers resigned, to name just two, and even the decision of Senanayake to turn down a knighthood at a time such honours were highly sought after, led to a degree of tension. Yet the overarching objective was freedom. The maturing of Ceylon’s leaders and the policies employed, gave the British no feasible reason to persist in refusing the island independence. The evolving violence experienced in India and the non-cooperation of the Burmese were positive factors in Ceylon’s bid.

The signing of several agreements in 1947, chief amongst which were those pertaining to defence, external affairs and public officials didn’t deter the island and her leaders from deciding on their own policies during the period of Dominion Status which lasted for nearly a quarter of a century, until the promulgation of the Republican Constitution in 1972. From the decision of Dudley Senanayake to sign the Rubber-Rice Pact in 1952 with China, to the refusal to join the South East Asia Treaty Organization (SEATO) during the premiership of Sir John Kotelawala owing to immense pressure from the Left in the country, and even the convening of the Colombo Conference with Burma, India, Indonesia and Pakistan in Ceylon, the island opted to chart its own path though connections to Britain remained strong.

In 1957 the decision of S. W. R. D. Bandaranaike to ask the British to leave Trincomalee and Katunayake, and the subsequent nationalizing of the oil companies in 1961 by Sirimavo Bandaranaike were endured though not appreciated by the British given that Ceylon was a Dominion at the time but these incidents articulated the independent nature of the country and her policies.

Bilateral connectivity soared during the presidency of J. R. Jayewardene owing chiefly to the persistence and effectiveness of the then Prime Minister. Ranasinghe Premadasa’s affiliation with the Conservative Party and Margaret Thatcher in particular before she became Prime Minister led to monumental support once she came into office with the British granting the largest aid package for the Mahaweli project, and Thatcher herself visiting in 1985. Jayewardene supported Britain over the Falkland Islands despite Argentina being a fellow Non-Aligned Movement state at the time, and not withstanding Argentina having moved a resolution to admit Ceylon into the United Nations amid strong Soviet opposition soon after independence.

When Premadasa assumed the office of President and John Major replaced Thatcher relations plunged over the Gladstone incident and saw the commencement of the human rights dilemma that would plague Sri Lanka for decades to follow. 

Taking another turn for the worse during the presidency of Mahinda Rajapaksa was the visit of Foreign Secretary David Miliband who accompanied the French Foreign Minister Bernard Kushner in a bid to halt the ending of the conflict, and the attempt by the British government to appoint Des Browne as special envoy on Sri Lanka, in 2009. From co-sponsoring resolutions in Geneva to attempting to thwart the Colombo bid to host CHOGM, relations dipped, if not plummeted to all time lows. 

It was in the wake of the 2015 presidential election, amid positive overtures from the West that Britain responded in similar vein. The decision of the Sri Lankan government to invite Prince Edward, the Earl of Wessex and his wife Sophie, Countess of Wessex is a reminder of the role played by the British Royal Family in supporting the British establishment as their brand ambassadors travelling the world, and but more relevantly denotes the influence that Britain exercises seven decades after granting a colony independence.   

While the island came under complete control of the British Crown in 1815, it wasn’t until 1870 that the first member of the British Royal Family visited Ceylon. Queen Victoria’s second son, Prince Alfred, Duke of Edinburgh was the first visitor, followed by his elder brother Prince Albert Edward who went on to be Edward VII, visiting in 1875. His sons, the Duke of Clarence and Prince George sailed into Colombo in 1882. Prince George was to return in 1901 as the Duke of Cornwall and York with the Duchess, the future King George V and Queen Mary. While the uncrowned Edward VIII visited in 1922 and his brother, the future George VI arrived in 1925, it was their younger brother, the Duke of Gloucester who was chosen by Britain to represent the Crown in 1948 at independence.  

Having travelled to Ceylon twice before, in 1929 on his way to Japan, and in 1934 when he had brought back the throne of the Kandyan Kingdom which had been hitherto housed at Windsor Castle after it was removed from Ceylon, the visit was both symbolic and momentous as a brother of George VI was granting a colony independence. Elizabeth II herself visited the island twice in 1954, on her Commonwealth tour and again in 1981 to mark the 50th anniversary of universal franchise. A third visit would have occurred in 2013 for the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting (CHOGM) but distance and age, resulted in Prince Charles and the Duchess of Cornwall deputizing. The Prince of Wales had been chief guest at the 50th anniversary of independence in 1998 while his sister, the Princess Royal visited in 1995, and President Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga was invited to propose the toast on behalf of Commonwealth leaders on the occasion of the 50th wedding anniversary of the Queen and Prince Philip in 1997. 

When glancing around the region, it is not known to invite British leaders or their royals to grace independence ceremonies but then other former colonies didn’t engage with the British in a similar manner. The closest that India and Pakistan came to inviting royalty was the Queen’s visit in October 1997, two months after their golden jubilee celebrations. The visit was severely soured however owing to comments by the Foreign Secretary Robin Cook in Islamabad, their impact in India and a scuffle just minutes before the Queen’s plane departed the subcontinent. 

In the seven decades since independence bilateral relations between Britain and Sri Lanka have triumphed and been trounced. It would be suffice to note that these relations have been unique, and much of that credit dates back to the years preceding independence when the leaders of yesteryear chose to engage rather than revolt as had been the strategy a century earlier in the 1800s. 

The British on the other hand are looking to harness history as they stride ahead bereft of their European Union membership. The British did it earlier too in forming the Commonwealth as the empire gradually wound up, and the Chinese too are reviving history through the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Sri Lanka remains relevant as does the entirety of the Commonwealth of Nations which would see a re-energizing process when Britain assumes the Chair-in-Office in April 2018. The mere extension of the invitation, the visit of the Earl and Duchess of Wessex and the receptions and events that follow, must not be the sole highlight of the 70th anniversary. 

D. S. Senanayake and his colleagues in government engaged with the British with the clear objective of realizing the dawn of independence for Ceylon and her people. Seven decades later the thinking should be goal-oriented, with aspirations firmly established. Britain’s soon-to-be post-Brexit scenario should form the foundation upon which Sri Lanka strategizes. Aiming to enhance trade, attempting to fill the gaps left by the Europeans, improving the movement of persons and increasing education and technology cooperation are just a few key items that should be on the table. 

The chief guest at this significant anniversary is a known British national, and irrespective of his position in the Royal household, it is imperative for Sri Lanka to utilize this opportunity to galvanize her foreign policy, otherwise an invitation, and a position of honour, would have been wasted.
 
-         -   George I. H. Cooke

Monday, January 1, 2018

STRATEGIZING SRI LANKA’S FOREIGN POLICY IN 2018: IOR + 5G + 11P



Sri Lanka as an island has remained one of the most globally connected countries. Whilst expeditions were dispatched to the Roman Empire in some of the first international interactions, special envoys continued to traverse the world over the centuries. Likewise Sri Lanka attracted many traders and conquerors owing to resources and location. Numerous calls have been made to make Sri Lanka a hub in the Indian Ocean, but often we fail to realize that Sri Lanka was a hub of strategic importance. Traders from China, the Arab world, as well as the Portuguese, Dutch and British all found the island to be of considered importance and sought to control it to their benefit at varied periods. Making the island a hub is therefore not a new policy but one which needs to be revived. 

Reflection on that which has been becomes highly relevant at this juncture. Whether in terms of research or policy planning, foreign policy formulation needs the utmost attention given the international ramifications of each and every step taken and word uttered. Emphasis on research into how Sri Lanka strode the global stage, the measures undertaken, the international developments at the time, the tight balancing act that country had to follow, all become relevant as the country stands on the eve of its seventieth anniversary of independence.

Today Sri Lanka is a member, dialogue partner and observer of numerous organizations and groupings, yet the amount of leverage the country enjoys internationally, as a result of such affiliations, leaves much to be desired. For too long the island has remained static owing to developments within, but now with the conflict a near decade into history, it is time the country surges ahead, but it would only be able to do so with strategy, which it tends to lack at the most crucial of times.

FOREIGN POLICY FORMULATION    IOR + 5G + 11P

Identifying national interest remains at the core of decision making. Whether in negotiations over bilateral issues, staking a claim at the United Nations or through the plethora of multilateral platforms that Sri Lanka sits at, the prospect of going in with an agenda for success, rather than merely marking attendance, needs to top the list of priorities. Security remains critical, from defence of the island from outside interference; cyber attacks; protecting the maritime boundaries and resources; preserving peace, law and order within the island; ensuring a healthy population; securing sufficient food; avoiding economic downturns; promoting investment while protecting the environment. All of these dimensions of security are paramount for a country going forward.

Those involved in foreign policy formulation need to constantly retain the goal of ‘Sri Lanka-First’ irrespective of who or what they are dealing with. If Sri Lanka and her policy makers don’t put the country first, no one else will.

Sri Lanka needs a formula to effectively formulate and implement foreign policy, and one that would position the country to be where it intends in the next decade and thereon. The formula IOR + 5G + 11P draws on the strengths of the island vis-à-vis the Indian Ocean Region, five important groupings and eleven vital global partners.

IOR = INDIAN OCEAN REGION 

The immediate concern for the country is its larger neighbourhood. While Admiral Mahen observed the relevance of the Indian Ocean Region (IOR) for its strategic importance before the outbreak of the First World War, it has only been in the last couple of years that Sri Lanka has begun seeking ways and means to enhance her presence.

Sri Lanka looks to other regions for trade opportunities, provides labour to some parts of the world, and draws upon significant investment from one global player, but the impact and prospects of the immediate neighbourhood have been long ignored. Regionalism has not, as yet, provided the prosperity that was envisaged in 1985. Through a process of restructuring whereby Sri Lanka would lay greater importance on all countries bordering the IOR, it would be possible to enhance interaction and trade which would be beneficial to the country.  

The Indian Ocean connects an estimated 47 countries in a wider region. As the focus of the twenty first century moves towards Asia and emphasis is also laid on the gradual rise of Africa, Sri Lanka stands to gain immensely through two sources. Location is paramount given the maritime connectivity the region affords the island, as it lies along international lines of connectivity, and secondly the economic gains from intense interactions across the region.

For effective maritime and economic policies to be implemented Sri Lanka’s foreign policy must be restructured to address the challenges of the day and harvest the opportunities of its geopolitical importance. Exactly in the centre of the IOR, Sri Lanka enjoys an excellent position to straddle two continents and regions, while remaining the conduit through which the world passes the Indian Ocean.

5G = FIVE GROUPINGS

Association for South East Asian Nations (ASEAN)

The ASEAN region is growing. From its inception in 1967 to date the sub region has been able to secure development, prosperity and more importantly peace. Identified as an emerging hotspot, ASEAN brings together three republics, three constitutional monarchies, two communist states, a sultanate and a former military junta. This diversity remains a paramount challenge but one that is converted into an opportunity as they strive forge ahead. Whilst much can be learned from the ASEAN model of operation, it is the action of countries in the grouping that are worthy of emulation. Sri Lanka possesses the ability to go beyond mere emulation through the understanding of the challenges these countries faced, the ways they overcame them and look at creating a new space for advancement.  

With some of the best diplomats the country has to offer stationed in the ASEAN region the harvest needs to be increased but will only be achieved if the capital issues a clear, concise, strategic and pragmatic policy that needs to be implemented across the board. Sri Lanka forewent the opportunity of joining in 1967, but was accepted as a member of the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) forty years later in 2007. The magnitude of the ARF remains untapped, with the uniqueness of the platform not understood.

Africa Union (AU)

A continent that has struggled for decades is seeing a wave of development, collaboration and progress with flourishing economies, a growing young population set to ensure a dynamic work force, high rate of urbanization and increased spending on infrastructure. The 55 member African Union is geared towards realizing African solidarity, bringing together countries which are distinct and diverse.

Having worked closely with countries across the continent from independence but specifically in the establishment of the Non-Aligned Movement, Sri Lanka possesses much goodwill. Tapping into NAM contacts, building strong ties with the AU, and allowing that to trickle down into closer contact at the bilateral level would result in Sri Lanka being able to see tangible progress and concrete action with countries that shouldn’t be relied upon only at the time of a vote in the UN.

As Asia surges ahead, Africa isn’t too far behind. Despite concerns within, the continent is continuing its march towards prosperity. Sri Lanka as a neighbour in the IOR would do well to develop closer ties across the region and not just in Addis Ababa. The closure of African missions in Colombo and the closure of Sri Lankan missions in Africa would do little to improve relations, especially when the countries concerned are key players in the AU.

Commonwealth

The Commonwealth will see rejuvenation with Britain hosting CHOGM in 2018. The natural disaster in Vanuatu and their inability to host the summit in 2017, saw the offer of Britain to undertake the task at a time when Brexit negotiations are due to enter a critical stage. Auguring well for the decades old grouping that Britain created as the Empire commenced its decline, the Commonwealth has remained relevant despite caution being expressed even at its origins.

Countries gaining independence, including India and Sri Lanka were eager to enroll as members, despite the caution and doubt. Diversity has remained its strength with potential for cooperation, enhanced trade, and the creation of another forum for leaders to meet and interact. With a total landmass of its members covering almost a quarter of the world land area, an estimated population of 2.328 billion, a third of the world’s population, and including some of the world’s largest, smallest, richest and poorest countries, spanning five regions, the Commonwealth is expected to get a fresh boost during the Chair-in-Office of Britain.  

Determination to survive without an empire saw Britain bring everyone back through the Commonwealth; similarly today as they poised to leave the European Union, Britain would look to capitalize on the Commonwealth, improve its significance and ensure its relevance. Being the only international organization that brings together key stakeholders during the Heads of Government Meeting from government, youth, civil society and the business community, the Commonwealth is supported by an active network of more than 80 intergovernmental, civil society, cultural and professional organisations, which would do well to benefit Sri Lanka.

Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)

Remaining under the radar, the SCO is the next big step in the march towards realizing the Asian Century. Although only twenty years since its inception as the Shanghai Five, the SCO has expanded its membership to include India and Pakistan, a move that would strategically benefit all countries in South Asia. With countries like China and Russia cooperating in the fields of economics and more importantly, defence, the potential remains limitless. Adding India and Pakistan to the equation would ensure that two countries that don’t see eye to eye converge through the joint operations conducted thawing the animosity, which, in time to come would augur well for South Asian cooperation.

Sri Lanka is an observer of this organization. The country has been given an important seat in an organisation that is often compared to NATO given its potential and promise. Strategically Sri Lanka has the ability to work in partnership with Russia and China while also tapping into the Central Asian region, with which little or nothing is done. The forum provides an ideal platform for exploring bilateral ventures, attracting investment and garnering security in a range of spheres.

United Nations (UN)

As the key stage on which the entirety of the global community converges, the United Nations has retained its relevance for more than seven decades. It has done so through tact, coordinated planning and structured responses. The ability for its central body, the Security Council, to pull through the Cold War with it divergently opposed stances, is testimony to the longevity of the Organization.

Sri Lanka having been a member since 1955, chaired the Security Council in 1960 and the General Assembly in 1976. Sri Lankans have reached some of the highest positions in its varied organs and fulfilled globally acknowledged tasks, as with the Law of the Sea Conference. Shelter was highlighted, food security proposals have been rewarded and maritime safety advocated. These were some of the key areas in which Sri Lanka shone, not just in New York but throughout the UN system. Yet these achievements are relegated to days gone by.

Sri Lanka sits complacently today on the back benches of a system to which so much more can be contributed and from which that much more can be derived. The diverse organs of the UN offer member states plenty of fora through which they can collaborate, share best practices, and implement joint activities. The degree to which this is done at present remains questionable. One aspect is in the field of defeating terrorism. As a country that defeated terrorism on its soil, the contribution Sri Lanka can make to the international community in an era when terrorism dominates most international dialogue, is much greater, yet unfulfilled.

11P - ELEVEN PARTNERS - America, Australia, Canada, China, Germany, Japan, Qatar, Russia, South Africa, Thailand, Turkey

Sri Lanka maybe geographically identified as an island but the country is by no means isolated. The enhanced connectivity needs to be used to the benefit of all Sri Lankans. Sri Lanka needs to look at strategic partners in different regions. Being ‘friends’ with all is good, but Sri Lanka needs ‘best friends’ at this juncture. Key allies who will reach out on behalf of Sri Lanka in their respective regions resulting in a targeted approach of implementing foreign policy goals.

Whilst America, China and Russia remain obvious choices as key partners, Sri Lanka needs to identify movers and shakers globally. Turkey plays a dominant role in the international relations, South Africa is the leader in Africa, Canada is the most progressive country today with a multicultural diversity success story, Germany is the most prosperous nation in Europe, Qatar, the richest nation in the world, Japan, a constant strong supporter, Thailand, a historic partner in South East Asia, and Australia is the leader in the Pacific region. Through the consolidation of relations with these countries, Sri Lanka would open windows into regions.

PRAGMATIC STRATEGIZING

From 1948, Sri Lanka advocated a policy of ‘friends to all, enemies to none’, been a founder of the Non-Alignment Movement and developed deep ties with countries like China and Japan owing to incidents, like the Rubber Rice Pact and the San Francisco meeting, both of which were occasions when Sri Lanka was a true friend, and incidents that neither of those countries forgot as they rose in power and ability. However Sri Lanka cannot keep harping on such incidents and expecting countries to remain grateful forever.

2018 should not be a mere milestone of seven decades of independence but one at which foreign policy makers take stock of where we are and where we want to be at the eightieth anniversary and beyond. Until and unless Sri Lanka strategizes on using location, harnessing resources and striding the international stage, the country will remain disillusioned and relegated to a backseat on the global stage.

Emphasis on a process of pragmatic strategizing which takes cognizance of inherent challenges, proposes means by which they could be overcome and ensures that the island returns to its zenith in foreign affairs, should be the targeted approach of policy makers going into 2018. Implementers need guidance. The absence of an overall plan results in adhoc measures, taken in good faith, but yielding ineffective results due to the mismatch of goals.  A proper understanding of that which has been, and that which is, is critical to determine where a country is heading. That understanding can only be derived through effective research, clear analysis and pragmatic strategizing.The sooner Sri Lanka does it, the faster the country will prosper.

George I. H. Cooke
AWARELOGUE Editorial

Friday, October 27, 2017

THE OCCULT OF OCTOBER: CATALONIA TODAY, SCOTLAND TOMORROW?



October is considered the best month to visit Catalonia owing to the Barcelona Jazz Festival, the human castle building competition in Tarragona, the sparkling wine festival in Sant Sadurni d’Anoia and the festivities in Girona surrounding the Fires de Sant Narcis. Yet October 2017 draws to a close on a highly contentious note with a referendum, a declaration of independence and attempts to secede being met with a military response, the invoking of constitutional provisions for direct rule and strong attempts to stop the disintegration of a country.

Spain’s political turmoil in recent months has left the world flummoxed as states, especially in European Union, cautiously observe developments within a country which once conquered large swathes of territory and enforced the use of a language that is the second most spoken in the world today. Two centuries ago, at the Battle of Maipú, Spanish control of the southern region of South America ended. While the Argentine native, Jose de San Martin crossed into Chile in 1817 and joined forces with Bernardo O’Higgins to drive the Spanish out the following year, it would be a matter of years before the Spanish were completely routed from the mainland and retained only Cuba and Puerto Rico until 1898 when they became protectorates of the United States of America following the Spanish – American War. Two hundred years later in 2017 Spain grapples with a problem within her own mainland, which has festered for centuries.

The Catalan secession bid is not new. Identified as a vital region by the Romans, leaders and their empires at varied times, have recognised autonomous rule whilst thwarting attempts of secession. Catalans even placed themselves under French rule during the reign of Louis XIII, before facing complete subjugation in the ensuing decades. The harshest times were under General Franco who did not recognize autonomy. The President of Catalania from 1934, Lluís Companys became the first democratically elected European leader to be executed when he was killed by a firing squad on October 15th 1940, following his capture by the Gestapo and being handed over to Franco’s forces. It is against such a backdrop that the Catalan bid to secede draws international significance as the resistance movement has floundered and flourished over the centuries.

The troubling factor remains the impact on the region, given the sensitivity of the issue. Secession is never a comfortable subject given the ramifications experienced and precedents established. With memories of the disintegration of Yugoslavia, the subsequent secession of Kosovo, the division of Sudan and the independence of East Timor among others, Catalonia’s people themselves stand divided despite the overwhelming Parliamentary vote of independence.

The October 01st 2017 referendum called by Catalan President Carles Puigdemont rang alarm bells in Spain. Immediate concern arises over the validity of the vote, at which 90% of the 43% of eligible voters supported independence. This translates into 38.7% of the total eligible voters supporting secession.

What then of the remaining 61.3% and their stance on the issue of independence?

Nationalism, Europe and secession movements

The most pressing problem in Europe at the moment was supposed to be Brexit and the efforts being made to reach a ‘deal’ which is acceptable to all. Whilst the regional body was trying to extricate itself from the logjam of Brexit, Catalonia poses fresh concern as sovereignty and regionalism are challenged once again.

Nationalistic sentiment heightened in 2017. Dutch elections saw Geert Wilders out-performing expectation. France’s Marine Le Pen came to the very doorstep of the Elysees, before losing in the final round of the Presidential election. Germany’s far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) became the third largest party, winning seats in the Bundestag for the first time. Although moderates were able to hold sway in 2017, the ensuing period till the next round of elections in 2022 remains crucial. Policy formulation and implementation over the next half a decade will decide the demise or rise of nationalism in Europe.

The present remains most concerning. Leaders across Europe have been quick to express explicit support for Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy. Knowing the consequences of secession, they don’t want the Catalan issue spreading its tentacles or influencing separatist movements in their respective territories. France’s Macron and his government have been firm in their opposition. Nationalist sentiments in Corsica and Brittany saw Macron not winning a single seat in the former territory at the parliamentary election earlier this year, but three seats were filled by a secessionist alliance. Nationalists in Brittany waved the Catalan flag warning that it is they who would decide on their own future.

Contending with separatism in Italy, the country’s foreign minister Angelino Alfano condemned the independence declaration, over fears of separatism movements in the Lombardy and Veneto regions gathering momentum along with those in Sicily and South Tyrol. Catalonia’s impact spreads further caution in Croatia over Istria Country which has been demanding regional autonomy; in the Czech Republic owing to Moravia which has been seeking self-determination since 2005, and Czech Silesia; in Poland given the strong advocacy for autonomy in Upper Silesia; in Romania with ethnic Hungarians demanding secession in Székely Land; in Denmark, although to a lesser degree, over Bornholm which has sought independence since the 1990s and Faroe Islands’ similar plea since 1948; in Belgium with disagreement over Flanders and Wallonia, in Germany given Bavarian nationalism; and even in the Basque region of Spain.

Despite Catalonia constituting one of the wealthiest regions of Spain, and contributing a sizable economic value to the EU, the President of European Commission cautioned that he does not want ‘a situation where tomorrow, the European Union is made up of 95 different states.’ Jean-Claude Juncker’s fears are well founded as the domino effect of Catalonia could be experienced across the European region.

Given the plethora of struggles, it is the United Kingdom that faces the gravest threat. Scotland’s External Affairs Secretary Fiona Hyslop noted that the people of Catalonia ‘must have the ability to determine their own future’, but stopped short of openly recognizing the budding state. With Northern Ireland and Wales also harbouring secessionist movements, it is the enthusiasm of First Minister Nicola Sturgeon to discuss a further referendum on Scottish independence in autumn next year that appears the immediate consequence.

The occult of October could very well return in a year’s time as the focus moves from Spain to the United Kingdom in October 2018.

-   -   AWARELOGUE EDITORIAL

Tuesday, September 5, 2017

SILENCE IN THE NAME OF DEMOCRACY: A GLIMPSE AT MYANMAR AND THE NOBEL PRIZE

‘Democracy is hard to love’ expressed Iris Marion Young in her seminal work on Inclusion and Democracy, in which she looks at social exclusion and attempts to understand justice and its relation to democracy, inclusion and identity politics. While the nature of democracy has been the inclusion of all people in a country within the decision making process, in keeping with the notion of inclusivity, questions have been raised at varied periods over the actual exclusion of minorities, with many examples dotting the planet. 

Myanmar was reborn in the democratic world following the ending of decades of military rule and the gradual return to a civilian administration was hailed in many quarters. Freedom fighter, democracy advocate and long time house-arrest detainee Aung San Suu Kyi, not only emerged into the political sphere once again but her party received a mandate to lead the country. 2015 marked her re-entry having already won the general election of 1990 which the military refused to recognize. With her party, the National League for Democracy (NLD) securing 392 of the 492 seats that were contested at the time, her victory was an almost unanimous message from the people of Myanmar that they wanted change, from a military run junta to a democracy. Yet their voices went unheeded.

The failure of the military to respect the verdict did not result in countries trying to enforce the result by bringing about regime change or even using force against Myanmar. Messages were issued and speeches made but the democratic rhetoric appears to have been in its infancy in comparison with what countries in the Arab world experienced in the last decade. There was to be no ‘Asian Spring’ in Myanmar. The people had to wait for nearly three decades to go by before they could see positive change and the election of the NLD leading to the establishment of a government in which Suu Kyi would be State Counsellor and Foreign Minister, owing to her being barred constitutionally from holding the highest office.

A retrospective glance at the last seven decades since Myanmar received independence on January 04th 1948 shows very little in terms of progress as a democratic nation. Whilst General Aung San is hailed as the chief architect for Burmese independence he never lived to see it dawn. The subsequent years of civilian and military rule did little to support the democratic movement within the country, which had its name changed from Burma in 1989 by the ruling military junta, and the renaming of the capital from Rangoon to Yangon.

The country though steeped in history, mainly through its Buddhist connections with many countries in South Asia, is today facing criticism, over its handling of a minority community - the Rohingya - which is surprisingly not widely heard. Amounting to roughly two million, both within and outside Myanmar, the Rohingya community, is facing ethnic cleansing, and is not one of one of 135 distinct ethnic groups that have been recognized by the authorities. Falling outside the eight major national ethnic races of Bamar, Chin, Kachin, Kayin, Kayah, Mon, Rakhine and Shan, the Rohingya continue to face attacks. Whilst 1978, 1991-1992, 2012 and 2015 are some occasions on which the community was tortured, killed, forced to flee their homes and lost their loved ones and belongings, the suffering doesn’t appear to subside, despite the people having lived in the country for centuries.

Internationally, Turkey, their nemesis Saudi Arabia, as well as their protégé, the Maldives, and the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) has now been joined by India in condemning the violence that is raging in the parts of Myanmar, but global attention is elsewhere. This is not a nuclearised country nor is it of critical importance to most. Babies who are being washed ashore are on the beaches of an unknown beach. Images of torture and violence are limited to certain media outlets and widely ignored by more mainstream western media. Hence the attitude adopted at present is not surprising. Having praised the democratic transition that took place and the replacement of the military with civilian administrators, the international community prefers to remain silent than criticize that which they praised just a few years ago.

Today that transition appears cosmetic as the new leadership though having undergone immense hardship during decades of military rule, fail to realize the oppressive nature of its own administration. The Minister of Defence, Lt Gen. Sein Win, was formerly the Chief of Staff of the Bureau of Air Defence of the Myanmar Army. His deputy Minister is another general while the Ministries of Home Affairs and Border Affairs also have generals occupying the highest seats. Attention has been continuously focused on Aung San Suu Kyi, though presidential powers are retained by the little known Htin Kyaw.

Hence it is the Nobel laureate who has received condemnation for her stoic silence on the issue of ethnic cleansing. Whilst calls have been made for the award to be rescinded and withdrawn, the Committee awarding the Nobel Peace Prize has not been known for having ever revoked a prize and it is not likely to make an exception in support of the Rohingya. The irony lies in the fact that the Nobel prizes are named after a man whose premature obituary in a French newspaper read, ‘Le Merchant de la mort est mort’ (the merchant of death is dead).

Alfred Nobel realized, at least at the last stages of his life that his discovery of nitroglycerin, which was more powerful than gunpowder, as well as his invention of dynamite in 1867, gelignite in 1875 and ballistite in 1887, among 355 other patents he had been issued internationally, all brought about destruction. Coming from a family which had produced armaments in the Crimean War, Nobel even lost a younger brother and four others in the preparation of nitroglycerin in 1864 in Stockholm, yet at the time of his death had established 90 armament factories.

Though advancements made by individuals in varied fields have been hailed and rewarded in history, in the spirit of encouraging such feats and nurturing the growth of greater interest in the specified sector, the Nobel Prizes for peace, chemistry, medicine, physics and literature, have drawn criticism especially in the category of peace. 

In 1973, Henry Kissinger and Vietnamese leader Le Duc Tho were awarded the prize for negotiating a ceasefire between North Vietnam and the United States, but Tho rejected it owing to ongoing hostilities. Another American was Barack Obama who won the Prize in 2009, having been nominated just 11 days after assuming duties as President. Bringing about regime change in many Arab countries, Obama goes down in history as possibly the only recipient to have ordered the bombing of cities through the US drone programme.

Personalities such as Mahatma Gandhi and U Thant, a Burmese national to hold the post of United Nations Secretary General who was due to receive the award in 1965 for his role in defusing the Cuban Missile Crisis, seeing the end of the war in the Congo and mediating in the Vietnam War, are just two who were ignored by the Committee.

Irrespective of whether the Prize laureates have made a positive contribution or not, the Prize awarded to Aung Sang Suu Kyi will not be rescinded. A member of the 1991 Nobel Peace Prize Committee was quoted as saying that “the principle we follow is the decision is not a declaration of a saint. When the decision has been made and the award has been given, that ends the responsibility of the committee.” Her stance throughout these incidents of violence have been to claim that ‘no, it is not ethnic cleansing’.

Although the UN Secretary General has condemned the incidents, UN teams are unable to visit the affected areas owing to the non-issuance of visas for entry. The effectiveness of the United Nations is called into question once again as teams from countries wishing to act unilaterally have been able to enter Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya even without authorization from the UN, or any form of internal sanction. Yet the UN is unable to enter a country which pledged to uphold the UN Charter just months after independence in 1948.

From confusion over whether to still call the country Burma or Myanmar; the absence of a strong expatriate community; its location on the world map and the inability for most to find it; and the democratic transition the country faced in recent years, have resulted in a general silence being maintained. Condemning those who were praised remains a tough call, and one that most are unwilling to make. The question that thus arises is whether Myanmar is living up to the democratic values it yearned for years, or is the country still stuck in its autocratic past.

- AWARELOGUE EDITORIAL